Aridification of Colorado River Basin's Snowpack Regions Has Driven Water Losses Despite Ameliorating Effects of Vegetation
نویسندگان
چکیده
The Colorado River Basin is an important natural resource for the semi-arid southwestern United States (US), where it provides water to more than 40 million people. While nearly 1.5°C of anthropogenic warming has occurred across this region from 1880s 2021, climate models show little agreement in precipitation change during same historical period, with no trend mean latest (sixth) generation Global Climate Models. As such, here we focus on how CO2 increase and associated over period impacted runoff Basin. We find that Basin's decreased by 8.1% per degree Celsius (°C−1). However, magnitude sensitivity reduced 6.8% °C−1 when considering vegetation response CO2. For present-day conditions, translates reductions 10.3% due increases both temperature since 1880. demonstrate flow been roughly storage Lake Mead 2000–2021 megadrought long term influence, suggesting basin's first shortage 2021 would likely not have without warming. further led disproportionate aridification snowpack regions, causing decline at double rate relative non-snowpack regions. Thus, despite only making up ∼30% drainage area, 86% decreases driven loss
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Water Resources Research
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['0043-1397', '1944-7973']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022wr033454